With almost all results in, the ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party scored a thumping 46% of the vote and the opposition European Coalition 37%. The only other party to breach the electoral 5% threshold was the left-liberal “Spring” party with 6%. The elections confirmed the polarization of Polish politics between the ruling party and liberal opposition, with other parties being squeezed out of the picture. The left-liberal “Spring” party, the only major opposition force not part of the European Coalition, barely crossed the 5% threshold whilst the centre-right Kukiz party and pro-Russian Confederation scored well below 5%.

Adding to the humiliation of the opposition was the unprecedentedly high turnout for a European election of over 50%, showing the ruling party to be more efficient in mobilising its core supporters in an election usually ignored by the Eurosceptic vote.

The election showed that voter dynamics in Poland are fundamentally driven by Law and Justice’s ability to deliver three elements of security: economic, state, and cultural. Against a background of continued economic growth, the ruling party began the campaign by announcing a swathe of welfare benefits for key segments of the electorate, especially pensioners and families.  This election sets up PiS as a major player in future alignments in the European Parliament, with its projected seats allowing it significant leverage in whatever group it joins – either a revamped ECR or any new putative group.

The opposition Civic Platform had calculated that the creation of the European Coalition would lead to victory now and then a domino effect leading to a big win in the parliamentary elections in the autumn of this year. Yet this disastrous result, in an election they had assumed they could not lose, may well lead to a change of leadership or a collapse of the Coalition formula, with a possible departure of key members such as the PSL Polish Peasant Party.
The survival of the alliance is also partially conditional on whether European Council President Donald Tusk becomes more involved ahead of the parliamentary elections. The opposition’s strategy will be largely dependent on the direction of Tusk’s awaited announcement during the 4th of June celebrations.

Representatives of Robert Biedroń’s left-wing Spring party have officially deemed their result as a success, underlining that the party has existed officially only for four months. In truth, the result is a let-down for Spring after initial polls gave more than 10% to the newcomer. The main question for Spring will be whether to join the Coalition led by Grzegorz Schetyna’s PO before the parliamentary elections. However, this may mean that the PO would lose what little voters it has in the countryside if Biedroń’s party joins the movement.

Below, please find the list of likely MEPs from Poland. This list, however, is still incomplete and the status of some listed is uncertain (names in italics) until the results are official.

Constituency 1 (Pomeranian):
Magdalena Adamowicz (EC) – wife of the late Mayor of Gdańsk Paweł Adamowicz.New face of the European Coalition.

Anna Fotyga (PiS)– Former Minister of Foreign Affairs. Former MP and current MEP. Chairman of the SEDE Subcommittee in the European Parliament.

Janusz Lewandowski ((EC) – A three-time MEP and the former European Commissioner for Budget and Human Resources.

Constituency 2 (Kuyavian– Pomeranian):
Radosław Sikorski (EC) – experienced politician. Former Minister of Foreign Affairs in the Civic Platform government. Currently fellow at Harvard University.

Kosma Złotowski (PiS) – Began his political career in local government – President of Bydgoszcz. Since 2014 MEP – member of the EP Transport and Tourism Committee, as well as the Employment and Social Affairs Committee.

Constituency 3 (Podlaskie – Warmińsko-Mazurskie):
Karol Karski (PiS) – second term at the European Parliament. Former Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs; long-time member of PiS.

Tomasz Frankowski (EC) – professional football player. Supported President Bronisław Komorowski in the 2010 and 2015 presidential elections.

Krzysztof Jurgiel (PiS) – 6-term member of the Sejm, Senator and 3-term Minister of Agriculture. 

Constituency 4 (Warsaw):
Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz (EC) – Former Polish Prime Minister and the Minister of Foreign Affairs. Long-time member of the Democratic Left Alliance.

Jacek Saryusz-Wolski (PiS) – 3-term MEP. Initially a member of the Civic Platform. In 2017 proposed by Polish MFA for European Council President as an opponent to Donald Tusk.
Danuta Hubner (EC) – first Polish EU Commissioner, 2-term MEP.

Andrzej Halicki (EC) – 4-term member of the Sejm and former Minister of Administration and Digital Affairs. Long-time member of the Civic Platform and close confidante of Grzegorz Schetyna.

Ryszard Czarnecki (PiS) – 2-term member of the Sejm and 3-term MEP. Former Deputy President of the EP.

Robert Biedroń (Spring) – former member of the Sejm and President of Słupsk. Founder of the Spring party.

Constituency 5 (Masovian):
Adam Bielan (PiS) – Former MP, MEP, Deputy President of the European Parliament, and the current Deputy Marshal of the Senate. Member of the “Agreement” party, an ally of PiS.

Zbigniew Kuźmiuk (PiS) – 2-term MEP. Initially a member of the agrarian PSL. In 2009, joined PiS and 2011 was elected member of the Sejm.

Jarosław Kalinowski (EC) –5-term member of the Sejm and 2-tem MEP. Old-standing PSL member.

Constituency 6 (Łódź):
Marek Belka (EC) – Former Prime Minister and President of the Polish National Bank. Professor of economics with international experience gathered at the World Bank and the United Nations.

Witold Waszczykowski (PiS) – professional Polish diplomat, 2-term member of the Sejm and former MFA.

Joanna Kopcińska(PiS) – active in local government. Elected to parliament in 2015. Appointed by PM Morawiecki as spokesperson of the government. 

Constituency 7 (Greater Poland):
Ewa Kopacz (EC) – Former Prime Minister, Marshal of the Sejm, and the Minister of Health. Lost parliamentary elections to PiS in 2015. Close to Donald Tusk.

Zdzisław Kranodębski (PiS) – Polish sociologist, advisor to President Lech Kaczyński. Member of Nation Development Council. Elected to the EP in 2014 – since March 2018 Deputy President of the EP.

Leszek Miller (EC) – Former Prime Minister, MP, and a long-time member of the Democratic Left Alliance.

Andżelika Możdżanowska (PiS) – Current Deputy Minister for Investments and Development, specifically responsible for SMEs. Formerly affiliated with the Polish Peasant’s Party, now a member of PiS.

Sylwia Spurek (Spring) – Former Deputy Ombudsman for Human Rights. Experienced lawyer; never held an elected office.

Constituency 8 (Lubelskie):
Elżbieta Kruk (PiS) – A long-time member of PiS. Engaged in media topics, former Chairman of the National Broadcasting Council.

Beata Mazurek (PiS) – PiS party spokesperson and 4-term member of the Sejm. Since January 2018 Deputy Speaker of the Sejm.

Krzysztof Hetman (EC) –long-standing member of the PSL and former Deputy President of the party. First elected to the EP in 2014.

Constituency 9 (Subcarpathian):
Tomasz Poręba (PiS) – Director of the 2019 European Parliament PiS election campaign. A two-time MEP.

Bogdan Rzońca (PiS) – since 1997 a local government official of the Subcarpathian region. In 2011 member of the Sejm.

Elżbieta Łukacijewska (EC) – 3-term member of the Sejm and 2-term MEP. Member of the EP Regional Development Committee, as well as the Committee for the Natural Environment.

Constituency 10 (Lesser Poland – Świętokrzyskie):
Beata Szydło (PiS) – Former Prime Minister, currently the Deputy Prime Minister. Responsible for the social benefits system reform.

Róża Thun (EC) – 2-term MEP. Former Director General of the Schumann Foundation in Poland.

Patryk Jaki (PiS) –2-term member of the Sejm and Deputy Minister of Justice. 2018 PiS candidate for Mayor of Warsaw.

Adam Jarubas (EC) – long-standing member of the PSL party. Local government politician. Appointed by President Andrzej Duda as member of the National Council of Development.

DominikTarczyński (PiS) – Current member of the Sejm from the Lublin constituency.

Constituency 11 (Silesian):
Jadwiga Wiśniewska (PiS) – Former MP and MEP. Leader of PiS in the 2019 European Parliament election campaign.

Jerzy Buzek (EC) – former PM and 3-term MEP. Chairman of the EP Industry Committee. Active in the opposition to the communist government in Poland.

Izabela Kloc (PiS) –4-term member of the Sejm and Senator. Unsuccessfully ran for MEP 2004, 2009, 2014.

Jan Olbrycht (EC) – 3-term MEP.

Marek Balt (EC) – Member of the Democratic Left Alliance and former member of the Sejm. Local government politician in Częstochowa. 

Grzegorz Tobiszowski (PiS) – 4-term member of the Sejm, and current Secretary of State at the Ministry of Energy.

Constituency 12 (Lower Silesian – Opole):
Janina Ochojska-Okońska (EC) – President of the Polish Humanitarian Action and a prominent charity figure. First time in an elected position, very popular among the public.

Beata Kempa (PiS) – 4-term member of the Sejm. Chief of Staff at the Chancellery of PM Beata Szydło and PM Mateusz Morawiecki. Member of the Council of Ministers responsible for humanitarian help.

Anna Zalewska (PiS) – 3-term member of the Sejm. Current Education Minister.

Andrzej Buła (EC) 2- term member of the Sejm. Since 2013 Marshal of the Opolskie Voivodeship.
Krzysztof Śmiszek (Spring) – lawyer and anti-discrimination activist. 

Constituency 13 (Western Pomeranian – Lubuskie):
Bartosz Arłukowicz (EC) – Former Minister Health and the current Chairman of the Sejm Health Committee. Formerly an MP from the Democratic Left Alliance, currently with the Civic Platform

Joachim Brudziński (PiS) – 4-term member of the Sejm, Minister of the Interior. One of the closest and oldestconfidents of PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński.

Bogusław Liberadzki (EC) – long-time member of the Democratic Left Alliance and current Deputy President of the party. 2-term member of the Sejm and 4-term MEP. 

EPP (22 MEPs)

The main Polish opposition parties have formed a joint list to counter the influence of…

S&D (5 MEPs)

Democratic Left Alliance (SLD) - Originates from the former communist party PZPR.. Former…

ECR (18 MEPs)

The PiS campaign will be headed by Tomasz Poręba, who previously ran the party’s local…

Other

Danuta Hubner, former European Commissioner and Chairman of the Constitutional Affairs…

Premier @MorawieckiM w #Bruksela: Optujemy za poszerzeniem obszaru wspólnego jednolitego rynku europejskiego.

Premier @MorawieckiM w #Bruksela: Polska opowiada się za tym, aby było więcej Europy zarówno w wymiarze budżetu, jak i w wymiarze strategicznym.

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