Analysis

Spain will face 4 elections over the next three months (local, regional, national, Euro), with the build up to the national elections on 28 April threatening to drown out any interest in the EP elections one month later. The political situation is tense, with two governments having fallen in the past year and the Catalan crisis still having an impact on the wider national scene. As in much of Europe, the traditional parties no longer hold a majority and the scene is increasingly fragmented, giving rise to new political parties on the left and right.

The biggest new impact has been from the far-right Vox party, which is polling up to 12% and could gain as many as 7 seats in the EP. They are in government with PP and Ciudadanos in Andalucia and have demonstrated with these two parties against the governing Socialist parties dialogue with Catalan separatists. While Ciudadanos have said they would never agree a government with PSOE they seem to be less clear on a potential right wing majority after the national elections that could rely on Vox.

One effect of Vox has been a hardening of the position by PP and Ciudadanos on issues such as immigration, gender issues and Catalan independence. This has resulted in pressure on Ciudadanos from its Liberal allies in ALDE and En Marche.

The Socialists remain the largest single party in the polls and the only one polling over 20%. However they look short of finding a left coalition to continue governing after April 28. The EP elections could well take place amidst a confused post-electoral landscape and influence the outcome of the vote.

The parties have until 24 April to submit their lists and these will no doubt be influenced by the national elections. Three parties have so far chosen their leading candidate – Josep Borell (PSOE), Luis Garcano (Ciudadanos) and Pbalo Bustinduy (Podemos) and the PP is expected to go for its current leader in the EP, Esteban Gonzalez Pons.

Spain is one of the main beneficiaries of the distribution of additional seats following the departure of British MEPs and will gain 5 extra seats, bringing its representation up from 54 to 59 MEPs.

S&D (14 MEPs)

The Foreign Minister, and former EP President, Josep Borrell will head the PSOE list for…

ALDE (8 MEPs)

he economist Luis Garicano will head the list for Ciudadanos and he is one of the 7…

EPP (17 MEPs)

The Partido Popular have chosen Dolors Montserrat to head the list. she is a former…

GREENS (5 MEPs)

The animal rights party Pacma, which promotes veganism to fight climate change, is on…

GUE (10 MEPs)

Pablo Bustinduy has stood down as head of list for Podemos and will be replaced by María…

OTHER

The far-right party Vox have been the biggest challenge to the political centre and are…

‼️España no es de Sánchez, ni de Torra, ni de Puigdemont.
🍊 @InesArrimadas "¿Os imagináis 4 años más de Sánchez con sus socios? Por fin hay una alternativa de centro con Cs: un partido limpio y con gente que sabe lo que es trabajar fuera de la política" #VamosHuelva

🗣 @InesArrimadas "Estamos haciendo campaña con la misma ilusión que la hicimos en Andalucía. Nos decían que jamás íbamos a sacar al PSOE de la Junta, pero se equivocaron. A Cs se nos da muy bien hacer realidad lo que parecía imposible. En Huelva nos jugamos mucho" #VamosHuelva

🎙 Sigue en directo las intervenciones de @jagirretxea en el #DebateSEREuskadi, en: https://t.co/IzmApKP64r (19:20). #HemenEAJPNV #NosMueveEuskadi #28A

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